shows you the relationship between the site's five-match-form figures and
actual results in Spanish, Italian, German and French top League games from
five-match-form figures for each game in our Fixtures/Form listings just before
the column showing the relative league positions of the two teams. As our KEYS
to various pages explain, these figures take degrees of defeat or victory plus
the current form of opponents into account. Anything between 0 and 100 is
possible, but teams are nearly always somewhere between 25 and 75. The figures
simply give a snapshot of current form.
figures in the three tables are not related to the home/draw/away percentage
figures on the right of our Fixtures/Form guide. On the whole they show
that the further ahead any team is on our scale, the more likely it is to win,
with one or two interesting exceptions.
Note how the draw
percentage chance with these games is always at least 29% (odds equal 12/5) if
the home side is no more than 7 points ahead, and pretty much a 9/4 chance when
the away side is 3-17 points up.
Once the home side is
23-27 points ahead, it’s a 70.6% chance which is heading for 2/5.. And if the
home side is ahead to any extent, the away win should be at least 4/1
ONE – SPANISH, ITALIAN, FRENCH AND GERMAN LEAGUES FROM VARYING DATES TO OCTOBER 2006 – 32, 409 GAMES