This opening page simply shows you the
relationship between the site's five-match-form figures and actual results
in all European Cup or Champions League games since the competition started
in 1955 up to May 2008. Knockout and Group games are included here. The
Champs League started in the 1991/2 season.
You'll find five-match-form figures for each game in our Fixtures/Form listings just
before the column showing the relative league positions of the two teams.
As our KEYS to various pages explain, these figures take degrees of defeat
or victory plus the current form of opponents into account. Anything
between 0 and 100 is possible, but teams are nearly always somewhere
between 25 and 75. The figures simply give a snapshot of current
The percentage figures in the three tables are not related to the home/draw/away percentage figures
on the right of our Fixtures/Form guide. On the whole they show that the
further ahead any team is on our scale, the more likely it is to win, with
one or two interesting exceptions.
As with internationals, these games follow form more than domestic club football. One again the draw chance is greater when the
away side is ahead on our form scale. If the visitors are 18 or more
points up the away win is at least a 43% chance and so any price of 5/4 or
higher could be value. Equally, once the home side is 3 or more points up,
the home win is at least a 62% or 4/7 chance. Note that once the home side
is 3 or more points up, the visitors have a less than 17% chance so they
can be laid at up to 11/2 on the exchanges. The draw chance is similarly
low where the home side is 13-32 points up.